Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29

The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Alumni Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Temple (8-5) 35 27 +4.0 36% 26 +6.0 30%
Boston College (7-5) 45 31 -4.0 64% 32 -6.0 70%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Memorial Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Syracuse (10-3) 23 20 +24.0 4% 11 +43.0 0%
Clemson (15-0) 27 44 -24.0 96% 54 -43.0 100%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Wallace Wade Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia Tech (6-7) 31 27 +8.0 24% 30 +3.0 39%
Duke (8-5) 14 35 -8.0 76% 33 -3.0 61%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Bobby Dodd Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Bowling Green (3-9) 17 22 +24.0 4% 17 +34.5 1%
Georgia Tech (7-6) 63 46 -24.0 96% 51 -34.5 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Cardinal Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Florida State (5-7) 28 34 -10.0 80% 42 -26.5 98%
Louisville (2-10) 24 24 +10.0 20% 16 +26.5 2%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Carter-Finley Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Virginia (8-5) 21 21 +6.0 30% 17 +13.5 13%
North Carolina State (9-4) 35 27 -6.0 70% 31 -13.5 87%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
Spectrum Stadium Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Pittsburgh (7-7) 14 18 +23.0 4% 11 +35.5 1%
UCF (12-1) 45 41 -23.0 96% 47 -35.5 99%

Final Resid Prediction ELO Prediction
BB&T Field Score Spread Win Prob. Score Spread Win Prob.
Rice (2-11) 24 20 +22.0 5% 7 +48.5 0%
Wake Forest (7-6) 56 42 -22.0 95% 55 -48.5 100%

Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 88%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 88%
 
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
 
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.